Italy W vs Denmark W: result 1-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations League - WomenLeague A - 2Kick-off on February 25, 2025 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
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What was the result of Italy W vs Denmark W?
Denmark W won 1-3 on February 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 53′E. FærgeDenmark W
- 58′M. CambiaghiItaly W
- 74′S. HolmgaardDenmark W
- 90′J. ThomsenDenmark W
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy W have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Denmark W have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025 | Wales W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Germany W(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Spain W(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Malta W(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Finland W(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025 | Sweden W(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Iceland W(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Netherlands W(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 25, 2024 | South Africa W(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Czechia W(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Italy W win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Denmark W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | Denmark W 0-1 Italy W | Algarve Cup |
| Dec 1, 2020 | Denmark W 0-0 Italy W | UEFA Championship - Women |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Italy W 1-3 Denmark W | UEFA Championship - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy W score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Denmark W score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy W | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Denmark W | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy W sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League - Women (10 points from 6 matches) and Denmark W sit 3rd (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Denmark W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy