Italy W vs Wales W: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations League - WomenLeague A - 1Kick-off on February 21, 2025 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Italy W vs Wales W?
Italy W won 1-0 on February 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′B. BonanseaItaly W
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy W have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Wales W have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | Germany W(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Spain W(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Malta W(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Finland W(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Netherlands W(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | Republic of Ireland W(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Republic of Ireland W(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Slovakia W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Slovakia W(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Kosovo W(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy W score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wales W score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy W | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wales W | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy W sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League - Women (10 points from 6 matches) and Wales W sit 4th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Wales W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy