Itapemirim vs Estrela do Norte: result 1-2 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 7Kick-off on March 2, 2020 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Itapemirim vs Estrela do Norte?
Estrela do Norte won 1-2 on March 2, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Itapemirim have 1 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Estrela do Norte have 4, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | Desportiva ES(away) | 0-4 | Capixaba |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Serra Talhada(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | São Mateus(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Linhares(home) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Linhares(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Real Noroeste(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Itapemirim score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Estrela do Norte score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itapemirim | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/13 | 6/13 |
| Estrela do Norte | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/14 | 8/14 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy