Itapemirim vs Estrela do Norte: result 1-2 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 7Kick-off on March 2, 2020 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Itapemirim vs Estrela do Norte?
Estrela do Norte won 1-2 on March 2, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Itapemirim have 1 win, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Estrela do Norte have 4, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | Desportiva ES(away) | 0-4 | Capixaba |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Serra Talhada(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | São Mateus(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Linhares(home) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Linhares(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Real Noroeste(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Itapemirim score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Estrela do Norte score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itapemirim | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/13 | 6/13 |
| Estrela do Norte | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/14 | 8/14 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
A question about Itapemirim vs Estrela do Norte?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy