Itapirense vs Comercial: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 2Kick-off on June 21, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coronel Francisco Vieira, Itapira, São Paulo
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What was the result of Itapirense vs Comercial?
Comercial won 0-1 on June 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′567049Comercial
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Itapirense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Comercial have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | União São João(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Monte Azul(away) | 2-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Monte Azul(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Catanduva(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Francana(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Mar 15, 2025 | XV de Jau(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Rio Branco SP(away) | 0-4 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Bandeirante SP(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Itapirense win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Comercial 1-2 Itapirense | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Comercial vs Itapirense on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Itapirense score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itapirense | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Comercial | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy