Ituano vs Ferroviária: result 3-1 and analysis
Paulista - A2Quarter-finalsKick-off on March 19, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ituano vs Ferroviária?
Ituano won 3-1 on March 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′Guilherme Dal PianItuano
- 45′Diego QuirinoFerroviária
- 47′Neto BerolaItuano
- 90′ErikItuano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ferroviária have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ferroviária(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Capivariano(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Votuporanguense(away) | 3-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Taubaté(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ituano(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Grêmio Prudente(home) | 3-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Rio Claro(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Sao Bento(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Portuguesa Santista(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ituano win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ferroviária win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ferroviária 2-0 Ituano | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Ferroviária 3-1 Ituano | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Ituano 3-1 Ferroviária | Paulista - A1 |
| May 7, 2021 | Ferroviária 1-0 Ituano | Paulista - A1 |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Ituano 0-0 Ferroviária | Paulista - A1 |
Last archived meeting: Ferroviária vs Ituano on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviária score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ferroviária | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ituano sit 3rd in Paulista - A2 (28 points from 15 matches) and Ferroviária sit 2nd (28 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferroviária | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Ituano | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy