Ituano vs Grêmio Prudente: result 3-2 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 2Kick-off on January 19, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ituano vs Grêmio Prudente?
Ituano won 3-2 on January 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 46′Neto BerolaItuano
- 53′Neto BerolaItuano
- 59′Caio ManchaGrêmio Prudente (pen.)
- 62′Neto BerolaItuano
- 66′Caio ManchaGrêmio Prudente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Grêmio Prudente have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | Rio Claro(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Amazonas(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Vila Nova(away) | 4-3 | Serie B |
| Nov 12, 2024 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Nov 5, 2024 | CRB(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | São José EC(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Votuporanguense(away) | 0-4 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Mirassol B(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 3, 2024 | XV de Jau(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Vocem(home) | 1-2 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Prudente score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Grêmio Prudente | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ituano sit 3rd in Paulista - A2 (28 points from 15 matches) and Grêmio Prudente sit 15th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ituano | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 28 |
| 15 | Grêmio Prudente | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy