Ituano vs Guarani de Palhoça: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie DMatchday 6Kick-off on August 23, 2014 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ituano vs Guarani de Palhoça?
Ituano won 1-0 on August 23, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 65′MarcãoItuano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Guarani de Palhoça have 1, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2014 | Maringá(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Guarani de Palhoça(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 2, 2014 | Cabofriense(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2014 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Ituano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Maringá(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Cabofriense(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ituano wins, 1 draw, 0 Guarani de Palhoça wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2014 | Guarani de Palhoça 1-1 Ituano | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Guarani de Palhoça vs Ituano on Aug 10, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; Guarani de Palhoça score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Guarani de Palhoça | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 3/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ituano vs Guarani de Palhoça?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy