Ituano vs Santa Cruz: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie CPromotion Round - 3Kick-off on December 26, 2020 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ituano vs Santa Cruz?
Santa Cruz won 1-2 on December 26, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 30′PachecoItuano
- 46′ChiquinhoSanta Cruz
- 90′ChiquinhoSanta Cruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Santa Cruz have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2020 | Brusque(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Dec 14, 2020 | Vila Nova(away) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Sao Bento(away) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Ypiranga-RS(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Nov 21, 2020 | BOA(home) | 4-3 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2020 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Brusque(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Ferroviario(home) | 3-3 | Serie C |
| Nov 30, 2020 | Jacuipense(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Manaus FC(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ituano sit 15th in Serie C (22 points from 18 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 28 |
| 15 | Ituano | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy