Ituano vs Tombense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 2, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ituano vs Tombense?
Ituano won 1-0 on August 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 10′Rafael CarvalheiraItuano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituano have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tombense have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2023 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Avai(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Juventude(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2023 | Criciuma(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Mirassol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2023 | CRB(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ituano win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tombense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Tombense 3-0 Ituano | Serie B |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Ituano 3-0 Tombense | Serie B |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Tombense 2-1 Ituano | Serie B |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Ituano 3-0 Tombense | Serie C |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Tombense 1-1 Ituano | Serie C |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Tombense 0-0 Ituano | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Ituano score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tombense score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Tombense | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy