Jarabacoa vs Vega Real: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Vega Real the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Jarabacoa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vega Real wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 3, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jarabacoa vs Vega Real?
Vega Real starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,417).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jarabacoa vs Vega Real
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jarabacoa
Not enough data to predict the Jarabacoa lineup.
Vega Real
Not enough data to predict the Vega Real lineup.
Computed on November 3, 2026 at 11:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jarabacoa have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Vega Real have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 2-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Universidad O&M(home) | 4-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Moca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlántico(away) | 2-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlántico(away) | 1-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cibao(home) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Universidad O&M(away) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jarabacoa win, 0 draws, 5 Vega Real wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Vega Real 3-1 Jarabacoa | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Vega Real 3-0 Jarabacoa | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Jarabacoa 2-1 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Jarabacoa 0-3 Vega Real | Copa LDF |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Jarabacoa 1-2 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
| May 31, 2023 | Jarabacoa 0-2 Vega Real | Liga Mayor |
Last archived meeting: Vega Real vs Jarabacoa on Sep 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jarabacoa score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vega Real score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarabacoa | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Vega Real | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jarabacoa sit 7th in Liga Mayor (5 points from 13 matches) and Vega Real sit 3rd (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vega Real | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Jarabacoa | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 5 |
A question about Jarabacoa vs Vega Real?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jarabacoa vs Vega Real?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vega Real the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Jarabacoa.
- Where and when is Jarabacoa vs Vega Real played?
- Jarabacoa vs Vega Real is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.