Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Negeri Sembilan: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin, Iskandar Puteri (Nusajaya)
The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Negeri Sembilan. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Negeri Sembilan?
Johor Darul Takzim FC is a heavy favourite: 2,075 Elo points against 1,511, a 565-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johor Darul Takzim FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Negeri Sembilan have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 2-0 | Malaysia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Kelantan United(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kuala Lumpur FA(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Melaka(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Terengganu(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Johor Darul Takzim FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Negeri Sembilan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Negeri Sembilan 0-1 Johor Darul Takzim FC | Super League |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 5-3 Negeri Sembilan | Super League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Negeri Sembilan 0-4 Johor Darul Takzim FC | Super League |
| May 18, 2024 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 3-1 Negeri Sembilan | Super League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 4-1 Negeri Sembilan | Malaysia Cup |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Negeri Sembilan 0-3 Johor Darul Takzim FC | Malaysia Cup |
Last archived meeting: Negeri Sembilan vs Johor Darul Takzim FC on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Johor Darul Takzim FC score 3.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Negeri Sembilan score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Negeri Sembilan | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Negeri Sembilan?
- The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Negeri Sembilan.
- Where and when is Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Negeri Sembilan played?
- Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Negeri Sembilan is played on September 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.