Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin, Iskandar Puteri (Nusajaya)
The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Penang. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang?
Johor Darul Takzim FC is a heavy favourite: 2,075 Elo points against 1,529, a 547-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Johor Darul Takzim FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Penang have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 2-0 | Malaysia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Pdrm(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Johor Darul Takzim FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Penang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Penang 0-4 Johor Darul Takzim FC | Super League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 3-0 Penang | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Penang 1-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 6-0 Penang | Super League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Penang 0-3 Johor Darul Takzim FC | Super League |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 5-0 Penang | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Penang vs Johor Darul Takzim FC on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Johor Darul Takzim FC score 3.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penang score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Penang | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johor Darul Takzim FC sit 1st in Super League (3 points from 1 matches) and Penang sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Penang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang?
- The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Penang.
- Where and when is Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang played?
- Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang is played on May 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.