Joinville vs Nação: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Joinville vs Nação?
Joinville won 2-1 on October 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′?Joinville
- 37′?Joinville
- 85′?Nação
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nação have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | Avaí B(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Concórdia(away) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 4-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Barra(away) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 2-6 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Chapecoense B(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Hercílio Luz(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Avai(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nação score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nação | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Joinville vs Nação?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy