Joinville vs Nação: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Joinville vs Nação?
Joinville won 2-1 on October 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′?Joinville
- 37′?Joinville
- 85′?Nação
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nação have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | Avaí B(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Concórdia(away) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 4-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Barra(away) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 2-6 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Chapecoense B(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Hercílio Luz(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Avai(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nação score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nação | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy