Jonsered vs Västra Frölunda: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Västra GötalandVästra Götaland - 26Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jonsereds IP 1 Konstgräs, Jonsered
The Footlab model makes Jonsered the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Västra Frölunda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jonsered vs Västra Frölunda?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Jonsered (1,471) and Västra Frölunda (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jonsered have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Västra Frölunda have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Galtabacks(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Onsala(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Landvetter IS(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lindome(away) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Kongahälla(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Landvetter IS(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 0-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kongahälla(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hestrafor(home) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Jonsered win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Västra Frölunda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Västra Frölunda 2-2 Jonsered | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Västra Frölunda 4-2 Jonsered | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Jonsered 4-2 Västra Frölunda | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Jonsered 1-3 Västra Frölunda | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Västra Frölunda 1-2 Jonsered | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Västra Frölunda vs Jonsered on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jonsered score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Västra Frölunda score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonsered | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Västra Frölunda | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jonsered sit 5th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland (21 points from 13 matches) and Västra Frölunda sit 3rd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Västra Frölunda | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 23 |
| 3 | Jonsered | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 29 | 32 |
| 5 | Jonsered | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 6 | Västra Frölunda | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jonsered vs Västra Frölunda?
- The Footlab model makes Jonsered the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Västra Frölunda.
- Where and when is Jonsered vs Västra Frölunda played?
- Jonsered vs Västra Frölunda is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jonsereds IP 1 Konstgräs, in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.