Joseense vs Independente SP: result 1-0 and analysis
Paulista - A41st Phase - 12Kick-off on March 16, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Professor Dario Rodrigues Leite, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo
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What was the result of Joseense vs Independente SP?
Joseense won 1-0 on March 16, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′?Joseense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Joseense have 1 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Independente SP have 2, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | XV de Jau(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Barretos(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Jabaquara(away) | 0-4 | Paulista - A4 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Vocem(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A4 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SKA Brasil(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Penapolense(home) | 0-3 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | XV de Jau(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Grêmio Sãocarlense(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A4 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Jabaquara(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A4 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Taquaritinga(home) | 2-3 | Paulista - A4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Joseense score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 11; Independente SP score 0.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseense | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 5/11 | 6/11 |
| Independente SP | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/11 | 3/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Joseense | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy