Jove Español vs Acero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de San Vicente del Raspeig, San Vicente del Raspeig
The Footlab model makes Jove Español the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Acero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jove Español vs Acero?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Jove Español (1,717) and Acero (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jove Español have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Acero have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Silla(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 5, 2024 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2024 | Elche II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Utiel(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jove Español win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Acero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Acero 1-3 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Jove Español 0-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Jove Español 3-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Acero 1-0 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Acero 1-0 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Jove Español 2-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Acero vs Jove Español on Mar 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Jove Español score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Acero score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jove Español | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Acero | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jove Español | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jove Español vs Acero?
- The Footlab model makes Jove Español the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Acero.
- Where and when is Jove Español vs Acero played?
- Jove Español vs Acero is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de San Vicente del Raspeig, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.