Juan Aurich vs Serrato Pacasmayo: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 1Kick-off on April 8, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio César Flores Marigorda, Lambayeque
Full time
What was the result of Juan Aurich vs Serrato Pacasmayo?
Juan Aurich won 1-0 on April 8, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 78′K. CarazaJuan Aurich
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juan Aurich have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Serrato Pacasmayo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | Sport Rosario(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2017 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2017 | FBC Melgar(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Alianza Lima(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Real Garcilaso(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2017 | Union Huaral(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Sport Boys(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 9, 2017 | LOS Caimanes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Sport Ancash(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 20, 2017 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Juan Aurich score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Serrato Pacasmayo score 1.1 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Aurich | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Serrato Pacasmayo | 1.1 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy