Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare: prediction and stats
J2 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
The Footlab AI model makes Jubilo Iwata the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Shonan Bellmare. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jubilo Iwata wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Jubilo Iwata (1,864) and Shonan Bellmare (1,872).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jubilo Iwata
4-3-3- 32R. Ota
- 31Iago Teles
- 23T. Inui
- 15Yuri Lara
- 8H. Tameda
- 6D. Kaneko
- 2Danilo Cardoso
- 29K. Kuwabara
- 30K. Yamazaki
- 36R. Yoshimura
- 16A. Niekawa
Shonan Bellmare
4-3-3- 19T. Nishino
- 38S. Kozuki
- 34H. Yamada
- 26Y. Fukazawa
- 6S. Takeda
- 5H. Matsumoto
- 2S. Matsumura
- 3Y. Hakamata
- 13W. Shimoguchi
- 37Y. Suzuki
- 31K. Sanada
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jubilo Iwata have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Shonan Bellmare have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 2-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sagan Tosu(home) | 2-0 | J2 League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Iwaki(away) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Oita Trinita(home) | 0-0 | J2 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Sagan Tosu(home) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(away) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tochigi City(home) | 2-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Iwaki(home) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kataller Toyama(away) | 1-1 | J2 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Jubilo Iwata wins, 0 draws, 2 Shonan Bellmare wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2025 | Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare | J-League Cup |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Shonan Bellmare 2-0 Jubilo Iwata | J-League Cup |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Shonan Bellmare 5-0 Jubilo Iwata | J1 League |
| May 25, 2024 | Jubilo Iwata 3-2 Shonan Bellmare | J1 League |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare | J1 League |
| Jun 22, 2022 | Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Jubilo Iwata | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare on Jun 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jubilo Iwata score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shonan Bellmare score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilo Iwata | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Shonan Bellmare | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jubilo Iwata sit 9th in J2 League (22 points from 15 matches) and Shonan Bellmare sit 10th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jubilo Iwata | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 22 |
| 10 | Shonan Bellmare | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 22 |
A question about Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jubilo Iwata the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Shonan Bellmare.
- Where and when is Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare played?
- Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Yamaha Stadium, in the J2 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Sagan TosuvsKataller Toyama
- Nov 7, 2026Tokushima VortisvsTegevajaro Miyazaki
- Nov 7, 2026Yokohama FCvsFujieda MYFC
- Nov 7, 2026Albirex NiigatavsImabari
- Nov 7, 2026Blaublitz AkitavsOita Trinita
- Nov 7, 2026IwakivsMontedio Yamagata
- Nov 8, 2026Vanraure HachinohevsConsadole Sapporo
- Nov 8, 2026Tochigi CityvsOmiya Ardija