Juventude Évora vs Real: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 19Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Sanches de Miranda, Évora
The Footlab model makes Juventude Évora the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Real. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventude Évora vs Real?
Juventude Évora starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventude Évora have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Real have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira(home) | 4-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Moncarapachense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Comércio Indústria(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Lajeadense(away) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Novo Hamburgo(home) | 0-3 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Passo Fundo(home) | 1-3 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | União RS(away) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Gramadense(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Juventude Évora win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | Real 0-2 Juventude Évora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Juventude Évora 2-1 Real | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Real vs Juventude Évora on Mar 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Juventude Évora score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real score 0.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude Évora | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Real | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Juventude Évora | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventude Évora vs Real?
- The Footlab model makes Juventude Évora the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Real.
- Where and when is Juventude Évora vs Real played?
- Juventude Évora vs Real is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Sanches de Miranda, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.