Kaposvar vs Pécsi MFC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rákóczi Stadion, Kaposvár
The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kaposvar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaposvar vs Pécsi MFC?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Kaposvar (1,670) and Pécsi MFC (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaposvar have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Pécsi MFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dombóvári(home) | 6-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kaposvar win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pécsi MFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kaposvar 2-1 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Pécsi MFC 1-0 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Kaposvar 1-2 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Pécsi MFC 1-1 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Pécsi MFC 0-0 Kaposvar | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2021 | Kaposvar 1-3 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
Last archived meeting: Kaposvar vs Pécsi MFC on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pécsi MFC score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Pécsi MFC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaposvar sit 2nd in NB III - Southwest (9 points from 3 matches) and Pécsi MFC sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Kaposvar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaposvar vs Pécsi MFC?
- The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kaposvar.
- Where and when is Kaposvar vs Pécsi MFC played?
- Kaposvar vs Pécsi MFC is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rákóczi Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.