Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mustafa Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu, Karacabey
The Footlab model makes Karacabey Belediyespor the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Kırklarelispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor?
Karacabey Belediyespor starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karacabey Belediyespor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kırklarelispor have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Kırklarelispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Karacabey Belediyespor 0-0 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Kırklarelispor 0-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Karacabey Belediyespor 2-0 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Kırklarelispor 1-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Kırklarelispor 0-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-1 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor on Feb 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kırklarelispor score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kırklarelispor | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karacabey Belediyespor sit 13th in 2. Lig (41 points from 36 matches) and Kırklarelispor sit 14th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
| 14 | Kırklarelispor | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 49 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor?
- The Footlab model makes Karacabey Belediyespor the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Kırklarelispor.
- Where and when is Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor played?
- Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mustafa Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.