Karacabey Belediyespor vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mustafa Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu, Karacabey
The Footlab model makes Karacabey Belediyespor the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karacabey Belediyespor vs Sakaryaspor?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Karacabey Belediyespor (1,703) and Sakaryaspor (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karacabey Belediyespor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sakaryaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | Sakaryaspor 1-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Karacabey Belediyespor 0-3 Sakaryaspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 2, 2014 | Sakaryaspor 3-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 13, 2013 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-0 Sakaryaspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sakaryaspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor on Mar 10, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Sakaryaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karacabey Belediyespor the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sakaryaspor.
- Where and when is Karacabey Belediyespor vs Sakaryaspor played?
- Karacabey Belediyespor vs Sakaryaspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mustafa Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.