Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Karabük İdman Yurdu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Beyçayırı Şehit Vefa Karakurdu, Karadeniz Ereğli
The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Karabük İdman Yurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,638) and Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(home) | 5-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Giresunspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pazarspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karabük İdman Yurdu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0-0 Karabük İdman Yurdu | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Karabük İdman Yurdu 1-3 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Karabük İdman Yurdu on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Karabük İdman Yurdu | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
- The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Karabük İdman Yurdu.
- Where and when is Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Karabük İdman Yurdu played?
- Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Karabük İdman Yurdu is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Beyçayırı Şehit Vefa Karakurdu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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