Karcag SE vs Ajka: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lipcsey Elemér Sporttelep, Tiszafüred
The Footlab model makes Karcag SE the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karcag SE vs Ajka?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Karcag SE (1,595) and Ajka (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karcag SE have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ajka have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BVSC(away) | 4-1 | NB II |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(home) | 3-3 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ajka(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Soroksar(home) | 2-2 | NB II |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Szentlőrinc SE(away) | 0-0 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Karcag SE win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ajka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ajka 1-1 Karcag SE | NB II |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karcag SE 0-1 Ajka | NB II |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ajka 0-1 Karcag SE | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
Karcag SE score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karcag SE | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karcag SE sit 7th in NB II (7 points from 5 matches) and Ajka sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Karcag SE | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karcag SE vs Ajka?
- The Footlab model makes Karcag SE the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ajka.
- Where and when is Karcag SE vs Ajka played?
- Karcag SE vs Ajka is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lipcsey Elemér Sporttelep, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.