Kariana Erden vs Neftochimic Burgas: result 4-1 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 29, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kariana, Erden
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What was the result of Kariana Erden vs Neftochimic Burgas?
Kariana Erden won 4-1 on September 29, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 21′A. BastunovKariana Erden
- 45′Tsvetomir TodorovKariana Erden
- 50′10945Kariana Erden
- 78′10922Kariana Erden
- 87′G. DimovNeftochimic Burgas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kariana Erden have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Neftochimic Burgas have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2019 | Tsarsko Selo(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Sep 4, 2019 | Hitrino(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Litex(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2019 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Chernomorets Balchik(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Litex(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Sevlievo(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Sep 2, 2019 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kariana Erden score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neftochimic Burgas score 2.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kariana Erden | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Neftochimic Burgas | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy