Karviná vs Opava: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Městský Stadión, Karviná
The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Opava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karviná vs Opava?
Karviná starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Opava have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(home) | 3-0 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(away) | 5-2 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brumov(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Prostějov(away) | 2-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 1-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Třinec(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Táborsko(away) | 0-3 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 1-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Příbram(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Karviná win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Opava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Opava 2-0 Karviná | FNL |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Karviná 3-1 Opava | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Karviná 0-0 Opava | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Karviná 4-0 Opava | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2023 | Opava 2-1 Karviná | FNL |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Karviná 1-0 Opava | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Karviná score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Opava score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Opava | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Opava | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 31 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karviná vs Opava?
- The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Opava.
- Where and when is Karviná vs Opava played?
- Karviná vs Opava is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Městský Stadión, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.