Karystos vs Nea Artaki: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nea Artaki the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Karystos. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karystos vs Nea Artaki?
Nea Artaki starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karystos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nea Artaki have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Diagoras(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nea Artaki(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Asteras Kaisarianis(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Afantou(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Aris Petroupolis(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Aris Petroupolis(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karystos(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Afantou(away) | 4-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Diagoras(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Asteras Kaisarianis(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Karystos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nea Artaki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nea Artaki 0-1 Karystos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Karystos 0-2 Nea Artaki | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Nea Artaki 1-1 Karystos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Nea Artaki vs Karystos on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karystos score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nea Artaki score 1.2 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karystos | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Nea Artaki | 1.2 | 0.3 | 11 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karystos sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (35 points from 22 matches) and Nea Artaki sit 2nd (47 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nea Artaki | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | Karystos | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karystos vs Nea Artaki?
- The Footlab model makes Nea Artaki the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Karystos.
- Where and when is Karystos vs Nea Artaki played?
- Karystos vs Nea Artaki is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.