Match

Kastamonuspor vs Somaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu

KastamonusporSomaspor

The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Somaspor?

Kastamonuspor starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,548).

Kastamonuspor win46 %
Draw25 %
Somaspor win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Somaspor have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig
Somaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Bursaspor(away)1-52. Lig
Apr 12, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Menemen FK(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Kırklarelispor(home)2-02. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kastamonuspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Somaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 18, 2024Somaspor 1-1 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Oct 8, 2023Kastamonuspor 1-0 Somaspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Somaspor vs Kastamonuspor on Feb 18, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15
Somaspor1.31.658/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kastamonuspor sit 12th in 2. Lig (42 points from 36 matches) and Somaspor sit 15th (30 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642
15Somaspor348620416830

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Somaspor?
The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Somaspor.
Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Somaspor played?
Kastamonuspor vs Somaspor is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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