Kastoria vs Doxa Mascholouriou: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 14Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Kastorias, Kastoria
The Footlab AI model makes Kastoria the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Doxa Mascholouriou. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kastoria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastoria vs Doxa Mascholouriou?
On Elo ratings, Kastoria has 1,441 points and Doxa Mascholouriou 1,555.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kastoria vs Doxa Mascholouriou
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kastoria
Not enough data to predict the Kastoria lineup.
Doxa Mascholouriou
Not enough data to predict the Doxa Mascholouriou lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastoria have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Doxa Mascholouriou have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Thyella Katsikas(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Anagennisi Artas(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kastoria(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Eordaikos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kastoria wins, 0 draws, 1 Doxa Mascholouriou win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou 2-1 Kastoria | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Doxa Mascholouriou vs Kastoria on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kastoria score 0.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Doxa Mascholouriou score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastoria | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Doxa Mascholouriou | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kastoria sit 6th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (3 points from 2 matches) and Doxa Mascholouriou sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Doxa Mascholouriou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Kastoria vs Doxa Mascholouriou?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastoria vs Doxa Mascholouriou?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kastoria the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Doxa Mascholouriou.
- Where and when is Kastoria vs Doxa Mascholouriou played?
- Kastoria vs Doxa Mascholouriou is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Kastorias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.