Kazincbarcikai vs Ajka: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kolorcity Aréna, Kazincbarcika
The Footlab model makes Kazincbarcikai the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kazincbarcikai vs Ajka?
Kazincbarcikai starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kazincbarcikai have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ajka have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Csakvar(away) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozarmisleny FC(home) | 2-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gyirmot SE(away) | 2-2 | NB II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | BVSC(away) | 0-0 | NB II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kazincbarcikai win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ajka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Ajka 0-1 Kazincbarcikai | Magyar Kupa |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Kazincbarcikai 1-1 Ajka | NB II |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Ajka 1-1 Kazincbarcikai | NB II |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Ajka 1-0 Kazincbarcikai | NB II |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Kazincbarcikai 1-0 Ajka | NB II |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Kazincbarcikai 1-0 Ajka | NB II |
Last archived meeting: Ajka vs Kazincbarcikai on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kazincbarcikai score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazincbarcikai | 1.4 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kazincbarcikai sit 2nd in NB II (11 points from 5 matches) and Ajka sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kazincbarcikai | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kazincbarcikai vs Ajka?
- The Footlab model makes Kazincbarcikai the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ajka.
- Where and when is Kazincbarcikai vs Ajka played?
- Kazincbarcikai vs Ajka is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kolorcity Aréna, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.