Kazma vs Al Arabi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Al-Sadaqua Walsalam Stadium, Kuwait City
The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kazma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kazma vs Al Arabi?
Al Arabi starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kazma have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Al Arabi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Al Arabi(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 1-4 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Qadsia(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kazma win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al Arabi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Kazma 0-2 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Al Arabi 0-1 Kazma | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kazma 0-0 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Kazma 0-3 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Al Arabi 2-0 Kazma | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Kazma 0-1 Al Arabi | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kazma score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Arabi score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazma | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Arabi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kazma sit 4th in Premier League (31 points from 20 matches) and Al Arabi sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Arabi | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Kazma | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kazma vs Al Arabi?
- The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kazma.
- Where and when is Kazma vs Al Arabi played?
- Kazma vs Al Arabi is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Al-Sadaqua Walsalam Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.