Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton: result 3-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Central Park, Kelty
Full time
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?
Kelty Hearts won 3-1 on August 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′L. McIntoshDumbarton (pen.)
- 19′J. HislopKelty Hearts
- 20′L. MooreKelty Hearts
- 73′A. FergusonKelty Hearts
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Kelty Hearts win at 57%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Kelty Hearts
- 11R. Cole
- 14J. Hislop
- 16T. Falconer
- 29R. Shanley
- 5C. Flatman
- 6A. Ferguson
- 8C. McManus
- 23L. Moore
- 15A. Davidson
- 35J. Brydon
- 1J. Smith
Dumbarton
- 9D. Lang
- 15L. McIntosh
- 21S. Honeyman
- 10D. Craig
- 17A. Spalding
- 27K. Kirkpatrick
- 3A. Omar
- 4K. Webster
- 24M. Doyle
- 34T. Robson
- 1A. Rice
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kelty Hearts have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Dumbarton have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Motherwell U21(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kelty Hearts wins, 2 draws, 2 Dumbarton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dumbarton 3-3 Kelty Hearts | Challenge Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kelty Hearts 0-6 Dumbarton | League One |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Dumbarton 2-0 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 2-0 Dumbarton | League One |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Dumbarton 1-3 Kelty Hearts | Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts on Sep 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kelty Hearts score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 0.9 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dumbarton | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kelty Hearts sit 5th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Dumbarton sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy