Kerry vs Finn Harps: result 2-1 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on July 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Kerry vs Finn Harps?
Kerry won 2-1 on July 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′Sean McGrathKerry
- 30′C. BargaryKerry
- 36′G. PriostiFinn Harps
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Kerry win at 57%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Kerry vs Finn Harps
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Kerry
- 7Sean McGrath
- 10C. Murphy
- 11Daniel Okwuy Okwute
- 41C. Bargary
- 24V. Borden
- 28Niall Brookwell
- 3S. O'Connell
- 18S. Aladesanusi
- 29E. Lee
- 14J. Häkkinen
- 1Matthew Connor
Finn Harps
- 7Benny
- 77O. McHugh
- 8M. Hutchison
- 10T. McNamee
- 11G. McAteer
- 14D. Coyle
- 20G. Priosti
- 29N. Lumingo
- 6Joel Bradley-Walsh
- 33A. Fanle
- 25Lorenzo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kerry have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Finn Harps have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shelbourne(home) | 2-2 | FAI Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Jun 19, 2026 | UCD(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | FAI Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Treaty United(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Wexford(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 1-3 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kerry wins, 1 draw, 3 Finn Harps wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Finn Harps 1-0 Kerry | First Division |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Kerry 1-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Finn Harps 1-1 Kerry | First Division |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Kerry 0-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Finn Harps 4-2 Kerry | First Division |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Kerry score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Finn Harps score 0.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Finn Harps | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kerry sit 4th in First Division (51 points from 35 matches) and Finn Harps sit 10th (28 points from 36 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kerry | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 51 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 70 | 28 |
A question about Kerry vs Finn Harps?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy