Kežmarok vs Slovan Sabinov: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Kežmarok, Kežmarok
The Footlab model makes Kežmarok the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Slovan Sabinov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kežmarok vs Slovan Sabinov?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Kežmarok (1,462) and Slovan Sabinov (1,454).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kežmarok have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Slovan Sabinov have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | MSK Tesla Stropkov(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spišská Nová Ves(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stará Ľubovňa(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Humenné(away) | 0-8 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Raslavice(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kežmarok win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Slovan Sabinov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov 1-0 Kežmarok | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kežmarok 2-1 Slovan Sabinov | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Sabinov vs Kežmarok on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Sabinov score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Slovan Sabinov | 0.8 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kežmarok sit 9th in 3. liga - East (31 points from 26 matches) and Slovan Sabinov sit 13th (24 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
| 13 | Slovan Sabinov | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kežmarok vs Slovan Sabinov?
- The Footlab model makes Kežmarok the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Slovan Sabinov.
- Where and when is Kežmarok vs Slovan Sabinov played?
- Kežmarok vs Slovan Sabinov is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Kežmarok, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.