Khatlon vs Istiqlol: result 1-3 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 10, 2018 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Vaxş-Arena, Kurgan-Tyube
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What was the result of Khatlon vs Istiqlol?
Istiqlol won 1-3 on March 10, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khatlon have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Istiqlol have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | Khujand(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Barki Tajik(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 23, 2017 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2018 | Ahal(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 27, 2017 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 3-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 25, 2017 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 23, 2017 | Barki Tajik(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Khatlon win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Istiqlol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2017 | Istiqlol 1-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 29, 2017 | Khatlon 1-5 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 24, 2017 | Istiqlol 2-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 2, 2016 | Khatlon 1-5 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 15, 2016 | Istiqlol 6-3 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Khatlon 0-3 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Khatlon score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Istiqlol score 2.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khatlon | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Istiqlol | 2.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khatlon sit 8th in Vysshaya Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Istiqlol sit 3rd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy