Khatlon vs Istiqlol: result 0-1 and analysis
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on July 11, 2012 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Vaxş-Arena, Kurgan-Tyube
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What was the result of Khatlon vs Istiqlol?
Istiqlol won 0-1 on July 11, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khatlon have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Istiqlol have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2012 | Istaravshan(away) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 20, 2012 | Zarafshon Panjakent(home) | 4-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 13, 2012 | Khujand(away) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 6, 2012 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2012 | Istaravshan(away) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Zarafshon Panjakent(home) | 6-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Khujand(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 9, 2012 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 26, 2012 | CSKA Pomir(home) | 4-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Khatlon win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Istiqlol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Istiqlol 4-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Dec 1, 2011 | Khatlon 0-2 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 18, 2011 | Khatlon 1-0 Istiqlol | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 4, 2011 | Istiqlol 3-1 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Khatlon score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Istiqlol score 2.6 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khatlon | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Istiqlol | 2.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khatlon sit 8th in Vysshaya Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Istiqlol sit 3rd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Istiqlol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy