Khenchela vs MC Oran: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Hamam Ammar, Khenchela
The Footlab model makes Khenchela the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for MC Oran. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khenchela vs MC Oran?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Khenchela (1,852) and MC Oran (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khenchela have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; MC Oran have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | MB Rouisset(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | CS Constantine(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | El Bayadh(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | ASO Chlef(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | JS Kabylie(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Khenchela win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 MC Oran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | MC Oran 2-1 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Khenchela 2-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Khenchela 2-1 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | MC Oran 0-0 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Khenchela 0-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | MC Oran 1-0 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Khenchela score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; MC Oran score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khenchela | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| MC Oran | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khenchela sit 7th in Ligue 1 (44 points from 30 matches) and MC Oran sit 4th (49 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MC Oran | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 49 |
| 7 | Khenchela | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khenchela vs MC Oran?
- The Footlab model makes Khenchela the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for MC Oran.
- Where and when is Khenchela vs MC Oran played?
- Khenchela vs MC Oran is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Hamam Ammar, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.