Kilkisiakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Kilkis, Kilkis
The Footlab model makes Kilkisiakos the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Makedonikos Neapolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilkisiakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Kilkisiakos (1,505) and Makedonikos Neapolis (1,478).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilkisiakos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Makedonikos Neapolis have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | PAOK Dytiko(home) | 5-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Orestis Orestiadas(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | PAOK II(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 1-5 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 4-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kilkisiakos score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Makedonikos Neapolis score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilkisiakos | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Makedonikos Neapolis | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilkisiakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis?
- The Footlab model makes Kilkisiakos the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Makedonikos Neapolis.
- Where and when is Kilkisiakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis played?
- Kilkisiakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Kilkis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.