Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Başakşehir wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Başakşehir starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,931).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kocaelispor
4-3-3- 11Gonçalo Santos Sousa
- 97F. Ayé
- 32M. Baku
- 14Show
- 10B. Kutlu
- 20Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho
- 22U. Yıldız
- 5E. Ortakaya
- 2A. Dijksteel
- 99R. Rivas
- 83S. Öztaşdelen
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1- 9D. Selke
- 70A. Skov Olsen
- 14E. Shomurodov
- 8O. Kemen
- 77I. Brnić
- 18J. Kałuziński
- 23E. Bayram
- 27O. Ba
- 33M. Karbownik
- 38S. Kharebashvili
- 16M. Şengezer
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Başakşehir have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 3-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 5-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Kocaelispor wins, 1 draw, 4 Başakşehir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Kocaelispor 0-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Başakşehir 5-2 Kocaelispor | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Başakşehir 3-1 Kocaelispor | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kocaelispor score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kocaelispor sit 8th in Süper Lig (16 points from 10 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 14 |
A question about Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir played?
- Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir is played on January 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.