Komárom vs Tatabánya: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MOLAJ Sporttelep, Komárom
The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Komárom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Komárom vs Tatabánya?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Komárom (1,564) and Tatabánya (1,607).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Komárom have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tatabánya have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ugod(away) | 4-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pápai Perutz(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE II(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kapuvari SE(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Sopron(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 4-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Komárom win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tatabánya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Komárom 3-2 Tatabánya | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Tatabánya 3-1 Komárom | NB III - Northwest |
| May 19, 2024 | Tatabánya 2-1 Komárom | NB III - Northwest |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Komárom 1-1 Tatabánya | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Tatabánya 2-1 Komárom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Komárom 0-2 Tatabánya | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Komárom score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tatabánya score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Komárom | 2.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tatabánya | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Komárom sit 3rd in NB III - Northwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Tatabánya sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Komárom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Komárom vs Tatabánya?
- The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Komárom.
- Where and when is Komárom vs Tatabánya played?
- Komárom vs Tatabánya is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MOLAJ Sporttelep, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.