Kowloon City vs Shatin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, Kowloon
The Footlab AI model makes Kowloon City the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Shatin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kowloon City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kowloon City vs Shatin?
On Elo ratings, Kowloon City has 1,378 points and Shatin 1,299.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kowloon City vs Shatin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kowloon City
4-3-3- 17Kwok Chun Nok
- 10Rikelmi
- 12Law Cheuk Hei
- 5Diego Eli
- 24S. Lucena
- 7Mikael
- 4Kang Jun-Hyun
- 20Yim Kai-Cheuk
- 2Yu Pui Hong
- 21Tsang Kam To
- 22Tin-Lok Kwong
Shatin
4-3-3- 28Hoi-To Lai
- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 30J. Arthur
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 93M. F. Ho
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kowloon City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Shatin have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | North District(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Kowloon City wins, 0 draws, 0 Shatin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shatin 2-3 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Shatin 2-4 Kowloon City | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Kowloon City 3-2 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Kowloon City 4-0 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Shatin 1-3 Kowloon City | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Shatin vs Kowloon City on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kowloon City score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Shatin score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kowloon City | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Shatin | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kowloon City | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 28 |
A question about Kowloon City vs Shatin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kowloon City vs Shatin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kowloon City the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Shatin.
- Where and when is Kowloon City vs Shatin played?
- Kowloon City vs Shatin is played on January 2, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.