KRC Gent vs HO Kalken: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Chillax Arena, Oostakker
The Footlab model makes KRC Gent the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for HO Kalken. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Gent vs HO Kalken?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate KRC Gent (1,716) and HO Kalken (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Gent have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; HO Kalken have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Rotselaar(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sparta Petegem(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | VW Hamme(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Torhout(home) | 1-4 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 0-5 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 KRC Gent win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 HO Kalken win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | KRC Gent 4-3 HO Kalken | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | HO Kalken 1-1 KRC Gent | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: KRC Gent vs HO Kalken on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Gent score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; HO Kalken score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Gent | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| HO Kalken | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KRC Gent sit 14th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (34 points from 30 matches) and HO Kalken sit 9th (39 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | HO Kalken | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 58 | 39 |
| 14 | KRC Gent | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 66 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Gent vs HO Kalken?
- The Footlab model makes KRC Gent the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for HO Kalken.
- Where and when is KRC Gent vs HO Kalken played?
- KRC Gent vs HO Kalken is played on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Chillax Arena, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.