KRC Gent vs Ninove: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Chillax Arena, Oostakker
The Footlab model makes KRC Gent the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Ninove. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Gent vs Ninove?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate KRC Gent (1,716) and Ninove (1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Gent have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ninove have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Rotselaar(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sparta Petegem(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | VW Hamme(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Torhout(home) | 1-4 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 KRC Gent win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ninove win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ninove 2-0 KRC Gent | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Dec 2, 2023 | KRC Gent 1-0 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 16, 2022 | KRC Gent 1-0 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Ninove 2-0 KRC Gent | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Gent score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Gent | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | KRC Gent | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 66 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Gent vs Ninove?
- The Footlab model makes KRC Gent the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Ninove.
- Where and when is KRC Gent vs Ninove played?
- KRC Gent vs Ninove is played on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Chillax Arena, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.