KRC Gent vs Sparta Petegem: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Chillax Arena, Oostakker
The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for KRC Gent. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Gent vs Sparta Petegem?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate KRC Gent (1,717) and Sparta Petegem (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Gent have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sparta Petegem have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Rotselaar(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sparta Petegem(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | VW Hamme(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Torhout(home) | 1-4 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KRC Gent win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sparta Petegem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent 2-0 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sparta Petegem 5-0 KRC Gent | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KRC Gent 4-0 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Sparta Petegem 3-2 KRC Gent | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Sparta Petegem 4-0 KRC Gent | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 4, 2023 | KRC Gent 1-0 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: KRC Gent vs Sparta Petegem on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Gent score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Gent | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Petegem | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KRC Gent sit 14th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (34 points from 30 matches) and Sparta Petegem sit 7th (41 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 41 |
| 14 | KRC Gent | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 66 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Gent vs Sparta Petegem?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for KRC Gent.
- Where and when is KRC Gent vs Sparta Petegem played?
- KRC Gent vs Sparta Petegem is played on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Chillax Arena, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.