Krems / Rehberg vs Mattersburg SV 2020: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 9Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Krems / Rehberg the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Mattersburg SV 2020. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Krems / Rehberg vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
Krems / Rehberg starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,681 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Krems / Rehberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mattersburg SV 2020 have 1, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Parndorf(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gloggnitz(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Donau(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiener SC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gloggnitz(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Krems / Rehberg score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mattersburg SV 2020 score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krems / Rehberg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mattersburg SV 2020 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Krems / Rehberg sit 14th in Regionalliga - Ost (2 points from 4 matches) and Mattersburg SV 2020 sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Krems / Rehberg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Krems / Rehberg | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 15 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Krems / Rehberg vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
- The Footlab model makes Krems / Rehberg the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Mattersburg SV 2020.
- Where and when is Krems / Rehberg vs Mattersburg SV 2020 played?
- Krems / Rehberg vs Mattersburg SV 2020 is played on September 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.