Kryvbas KR vs Polessya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hirnyk, Kryvyi Rih
The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kryvbas KR. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kryvbas KR vs Polessya?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Kryvbas KR (1,869) and Polessya (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kryvbas KR have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Polessya have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rokyta(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kryvbas KR win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Polessya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Polessya 2-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 0-1 Polessya | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Polessya 1-1 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 3-1 Polessya | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Polessya 2-1 Kryvbas KR | Cup |
| May 13, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 0-1 Polessya | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Polessya vs Kryvbas KR on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kryvbas KR score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kryvbas KR | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kryvbas KR sit 7th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Polessya sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Kryvbas KR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kryvbas KR vs Polessya?
- The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kryvbas KR.
- Where and when is Kryvbas KR vs Polessya played?
- Kryvbas KR vs Polessya is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hirnyk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.