Kufstein vs Kitzbühel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kufstein-Arena, Kufstein
The Footlab model makes Kitzbühel the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Kufstein. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kufstein vs Kitzbühel?
Kitzbühel starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,668 vs 1,502).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kufstein have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kitzbühel have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lochau(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK St. Johann(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kufstein win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kitzbühel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Kufstein 3-1 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Kitzbühel 0-0 Kufstein | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Kufstein 1-2 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Kitzbühel 1-2 Kufstein | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Kufstein 4-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - Tirol |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Kitzbühel 0-2 Kufstein | Regionalliga - Tirol |
Last archived meeting: Kufstein vs Kitzbühel on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kufstein score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kufstein | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kufstein sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Kitzbühel sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Kufstein | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kufstein vs Kitzbühel?
- The Footlab model makes Kitzbühel the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Kufstein.
- Where and when is Kufstein vs Kitzbühel played?
- Kufstein vs Kitzbühel is played on September 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kufstein-Arena, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.