La Luz vs CA River Plate: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda División2nd Phase - 21Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Parque Luis Rivero, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of La Luz vs CA River Plate?
La Luz won 3-2 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′?CA River Plate
- 27′?CA River Plate
- 39′?La Luz
- 48′?La Luz
- 60′?La Luz
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a CA River Plate win at 36%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Luz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; CA River Plate have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paysandu(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colón(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 0-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fenix(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 La Luz wins, 3 draws, 1 CA River Plate win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | CA River Plate 0-0 La Luz | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2023 | CA River Plate 1-0 La Luz | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 16, 2023 | CA River Plate 0-0 La Luz | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2023 | La Luz 2-2 CA River Plate | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: CA River Plate vs La Luz on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Luz score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; CA River Plate score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 0.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| CA River Plate | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Luz sit 5th in Segunda División (37 points from 26 matches) and CA River Plate sit 7th (34 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | La Luz | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 37 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 34 | 34 |
A question about La Luz vs CA River Plate?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy