Lagarto vs Falcon: result 1-0 and analysis
Sergipano1st Phase - 2Kick-off on January 21, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Paulo Barreto de Menezes, Lagarto, Sergipe
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What was the result of Lagarto vs Falcon?
Lagarto won 1-0 on January 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 35′GonçalvesLagarto (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagarto have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Falcon have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | Atlético Gloriense(away) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Amazonas(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Amazonas(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Sousa(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Sousa(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 3-3 | Sergipano |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Sergipe(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Sergipe(home) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Confiança(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Apr 1, 2022 | Confiança(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Lagarto score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Falcon score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagarto | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Falcon | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lagarto sit 3rd in Sergipano (16 points from 9 matches) and Falcon sit 7th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy