Lamezia Terme vs Afragolese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I · Matchday 17Kick-off on December 10, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, Lamezia Terme
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lamezia Terme have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Afragolese have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Città Di Sant’Agata(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Nuova Gioiese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2023 | La Fenice Amaranto(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Licata(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Acireale(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 26, 2023 | La Fenice Amaranto(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Igea Virtus(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Sancataldese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Locri 1909(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Lamezia Terme score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Afragolese score 1.6 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamezia Terme | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Afragolese | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy